App St
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 66.4224Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 A Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 34-11 906 H Lindenwood 20-13 913 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 22-38 927 A Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 14-47 1004 H Oregon St P12 ( 2-10, 62.9) 27-23 1011 A Georgia St SUN ( 1-11, 59.4) 41-20 1018 H Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 8, 71.4) 37-45 1025 A Old Dominion SUN (10- 3, 81.6) 21-24 1106 H Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 23-25 1115 A J Madison SUN (12- 2, 84.2) 10-58 1122 H Marshall SUN ( 5- 7, 71.8) 26-24 1129 H Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 29-30 1229 N Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 10-29
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 A Charlotte 34-11 23 11 + 2.69
913 A So Miss 22-38 -16 -7 --- -6.96
927 A Boise State 14-47 -33 -19 0.00
1004 H Oregon St 27-23 4 9 -- -4.75
1011 A Georgia St 41-20 21 2 +++ 12.23
1018 H Coastal Car 37-45 -8 0 --- -8.28
1025 A Old Dominion 21-24 -3 -20 +++ 11.00
1106 H Georgia So 23-25 -2 0 - -2.48
1115 A J Madison 10-58 -48 -23 0.00
1122 H Marshall 26-24 2 0 + 2.11
1129 H Arkansas State 29-30 -1 2 - -2.77
1229 N Georgia So 10-29 -19 -5 --- -9.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A So Miss 22-38 -16 -7 --- -6.96 1018 H Coastal Car 37-45 -8 0 --- -8.28 1229 N Georgia So 10-29 -19 -5 --- -9.22 1004 H Oregon St 27-23 4 9 -- -4.75 1106 H Georgia So 23-25 -2 0 - -2.48 1129 H Arkansas State 29-30 -1 2 - -2.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Georgia St 41-20 21 2 +++ 12.23 1025 A Old Dominion 21-24 -3 -20 +++ 11.00 829 A Charlotte 34-11 23 11 + 2.69 1122 H Marshall 26-24 2 0 + 2.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 34-11 -50.04 1.18 5.26 1.06 13.68
3 A So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 22-38 -31.70 19.52 5.26 1.06 -14.05
3 A Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 14-47 -19.81 31.41 5.26 1.06 -7.73
3 H Oregon St ( 2-10, 62.9) 27-23 -36.96 14.26 -5.26 1.06 19.12
3 A Georgia St ( 1-11, 59.4) 41-20 -40.50 10.71 5.26 1.06 33.95
3 H Coastal Car ( 6- 8, 71.4) 37-45 -28.49 22.72 -5.26 1.06 -17.93
3 A Old Dominion (10- 3, 81.6) 21-24 -18.33 32.89 5.26 1.06 -6.94
3 H Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 23-25 -28.70 22.52 -5.26 1.06 -18.04
3 A J Madison (12- 2, 84.2) 10-58 -15.74 35.48 5.26 1.06 -5.57
3 H Marshall ( 5- 7, 71.8) 26-24 -28.11 23.11 -5.26 1.06 37.94
3 H Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 29-30 -29.99 21.23 -5.26 1.06 -18.72
3 N Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 10-29 -28.70 22.52 -0.00 1.06 -15.24
------
0.45
|
winning pts = 104.6816 losing points = -104.2283
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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